Cremonese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
PRO
0 - 1
USC
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
USC
2 - 1
COM
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
USC
2 - 1
ACP
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
SAS
2 - 1
USC
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
USC
3 - 2
ACI
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 0
FRO
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
ACI
2 - 1
NOV
39%
29%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 2
ASL
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 0
FIA
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ACP
0 - 0
NOV
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |