Cremonese vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
62.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
LEO
3 - 2
USC
64%
18%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
USC
1 - 3
LAZ
20%
19%
61%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
GEN
2 - 1
USC
84%
10%
6%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
USC
0 - 0
INT
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
TRI
4 - 0
USC
53%
21%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
NAP
2 - 1
MOD
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
TOR
1 - 0
NAP
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
NAP
1 - 1
ROM
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
LIV
3 - 0
NAP
22%
19%
59%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
NAP
2 - 1
BOL
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |