Cremonese vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
20.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
16%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.8%
17%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
USC
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
USC
0 - 1
PIS
45%
24%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
RIM
2 - 1
USC
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
USC
1 - 1
BAR
49%
30%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
AVE
1 - 0
USC
51%
29%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
64%
24%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 1
RIM
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
CAG
0 - 0
MOD
76%
16%
7%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
MOD
0 - 1
AVE
49%
29%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
TER
2 - 0
MOD
61%
25%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |