Cremonese vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
51.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
INT
2 - 1
USC
80%
15%
6%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
BRE
1 - 3
USC
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
LIC
1 - 1
USC
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
USC
0 - 0
REG
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
AVE
2 - 2
USC
47%
30%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
CES
0 - 3
ACM
18%
29%
53%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 0
ACM
18%
29%
53%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
BOL
1 - 4
ACM
24%
29%
48%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
ACM
5 - 1
ASC
73%
19%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1989 |
ACM
3 - 1
SAM
61%
24%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |