Cremonese vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
60.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1930 |
USC
0 - 0
NAP
18%
19%
63%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
LEO
3 - 2
USC
64%
18%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
USC
1 - 3
LAZ
20%
19%
61%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
GEN
2 - 1
USC
84%
10%
6%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
USC
0 - 0
INT
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1930 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
ACM
2 - 2
LIV
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
INT
2 - 0
ACM
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
ACM
0 - 1
BOL
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |