Cremonese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
SSB
0 - 0
USC
45%
28%
26%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
USC
0 - 0
LAZ
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
PIA
0 - 1
USC
52%
26%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
USC
0 - 0
UDI
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 0
USC
37%
32%
31%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
MES
3 - 0
PAR
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
MES
1 - 1
BOL
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
UDI
1 - 0
MES
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
LAZ
2 - 0
MES
56%
26%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |