Cremonese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1951 |
REG
2 - 0
USC
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
BAR
3 - 2
USC
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
USC
2 - 1
SAL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
PIS
1 - 0
USC
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
USC
2 - 0
VIC
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1951 |
MES
0 - 0
VER
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
CAT
1 - 2
MES
55%
21%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
MES
0 - 1
BAR
64%
19%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
VIC
1 - 0
MES
61%
20%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
SAL
0 - 3
MES
56%
21%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |