Cremonese vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
USC
2 - 1
UDI
27%
23%
50%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
SIR
1 - 0
USC
53%
22%
26%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
PIS
1 - 2
USC
61%
19%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
USC
2 - 0
SPE
52%
22%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
NAP
3 - 0
USC
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
LIV
4 - 0
SIR
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
LIV
3 - 1
PRO
79%
13%
8%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
SPA
6 - 1
LIV
56%
21%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
LIV
4 - 1
USA
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
REG
0 - 2
LIV
64%
17%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |