Cremonese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
CES
1 - 2
USC
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
PES
1 - 0
USC
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
USC
0 - 0
PAD
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
SAL
1 - 0
USC
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
USC
0 - 1
RAV
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
LEC
3 - 1
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
GEN
2 - 0
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
LEC
2 - 0
EMP
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
VNZ
0 - 1
LEC
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
LEC
2 - 1
USF
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |