Cremonese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
23.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
USF
1 - 0
USC
56%
27%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 1
USC
55%
27%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
USC
1 - 0
CAT
48%
29%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
USC
0 - 0
PIS
48%
30%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
SAM
2 - 1
USC
62%
24%
14%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
LEC
3 - 0
PIS
47%
30%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
PES
0 - 0
LEC
52%
28%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
BAR
48%
29%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 1
SPA
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
RIM
3 - 1
LEC
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |