Cremonese vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
29.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
CAV
2 - 1
USC
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
USC
1 - 1
PIS
46%
30%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
PES
0 - 2
USC
53%
27%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
USC
2 - 1
LEC
46%
30%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
USF
1 - 0
USC
56%
27%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
LAZ
2 - 0
VER
65%
24%
12%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 0
LAZ
42%
31%
28%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
LAZ
2 - 2
PIS
64%
23%
12%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PES
69%
21%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
REG
1 - 1
LAZ
43%
30%
28%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |