Cremonese vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
CES
1 - 1
USC
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
LEC
2 - 1
USC
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
USC
0 - 2
REG
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
USC
1 - 1
TRE
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
VER
5 - 2
USC
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
GEN
3 - 3
CHI
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
COS
2 - 2
GEN
34%
27%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 0
TOR
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
PES
4 - 1
GEN
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
GEN
6 - 1
TER
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |