Cremonese vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
CAG
2 - 2
USC
40%
33%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
USC
0 - 0
LAZ
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
CES
1 - 2
USC
50%
29%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
USC
1 - 0
TAR
70%
21%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
CAT
0 - 1
USC
50%
30%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
GEN
4 - 2
CAM
58%
27%
15%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
VIC
1 - 1
GEN
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
GEN
0 - 0
ARZ
56%
27%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
GEN
2 - 1
PES
56%
27%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +2 |