Cremonese vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
41.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
ACM
3 - 1
USC
80%
16%
5%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
USC
0 - 2
USF
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
ASC
1 - 0
USC
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
JUV
2 - 0
USC
82%
14%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
USC
3 - 0
VER
35%
31%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
FIO
1 - 1
LAZ
58%
25%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
ATL
1 - 0
FIO
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAG
68%
20%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1991 |
PAR
0 - 0
FIO
39%
31%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
ASC
0 - 0
FIO
31%
30%
39%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |