Cremonese vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
USA
3 - 0
USC
69%
17%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
USC
2 - 3
FAN
70%
17%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
UNI
1 - 0
USC
58%
20%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
USC
2 - 2
REG
40%
24%
37%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SPA
3 - 0
USC
63%
19%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 1
SPA
57%
20%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
VER
1 - 2
CAT
77%
13%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
FAN
2 - 0
CAT
48%
23%
29%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
0 - 0
UNI
64%
18%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |