Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Cremonese vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
TOR
0 - 1
USC
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
BRE
3 - 1
USC
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
USC
0 - 1
LEC
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
CES
1 - 2
USC
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
PES
1 - 0
USC
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
BOL
3 - 2
ROM
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
NAP
3 - 2
BOL
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
BOL
3 - 1
FIO
30%
29%
42%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
BOL
0 - 2
FIO
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
BOL
2 - 1
SAM
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |