Cremonese vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PIA
1 - 3
USC
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
USC
3 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
USC
4 - 2
BV5
72%
18%
9%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
ASA
0 - 1
USC
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SOR
2 - 3
USC
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SIR
3 - 1
SPE
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPE
3 - 0
PIA
25%
28%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FRO
3 - 2
SPE
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SPE
0 - 0
ASA
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
SPE
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +1 |