Cremonese vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
USC
2 - 1
ACM
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
USC
0 - 0
FCS
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
VER
1 - 1
USC
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
USC
1 - 0
ACL
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PAV
0 - 1
USC
14%
23%
63%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
SPE
0 - 1
SAV
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 1
PER
31%
29%
40%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 0
SPE
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 1
COM
39%
29%
31%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
FCS
2 - 0
SPE
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |