Cremonese vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
UNI
6 - 1
USC
72%
16%
12%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
USC
1 - 1
ANC
66%
18%
16%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
SPA
4 - 1
USC
80%
13%
8%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
USC
0 - 1
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
CAT
1 - 1
USC
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
BRE
50%
22%
28%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
MOD
6 - 0
SPE
61%
21%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
BAR
1 - 1
SPE
49%
24%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
SPE
0 - 1
MES
58%
20%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIR
62%
20%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |