Cremonese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
33.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CAR
2 - 0
USC
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
USC
0 - 0
MON
68%
20%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 2
USC
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
USC
2 - 2
SPA
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 1
USC
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASL
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
SIE
2 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
VAR
3 - 0
MOD
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 2
VAR
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 1
PIS
36%
30%
35%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |