Cremonese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
PAL
0 - 0
USC
57%
26%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 0
USC
55%
26%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
USC
3 - 0
COM
50%
30%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CAG
2 - 2
USC
74%
18%
9%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
USC
0 - 0
ASS
43%
31%
26%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
SSS
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
MOD
1 - 4
VAR
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
COM
2 - 1
VAR
45%
29%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 1
TER
52%
28%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |