Cremonese vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
USC
1 - 0
ACL
86%
11%
4%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
USC
3 - 2
TRE
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
USC
58%
24%
17%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
USC
5 - 0
GER
81%
14%
6%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VNZ
1 - 0
USC
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 1
SSC
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAL
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
FRO
3 - 4
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
15 - 1
DEL
80%
14%
7%
|
76 | 6 | 70 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
TER
0 - 3
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |