Cremonese vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
SPA
4 - 1
USC
80%
13%
8%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
USC
0 - 1
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
CAT
1 - 1
USC
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SIR
1 - 0
USC
74%
14%
11%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
USC
0 - 0
FAN
56%
21%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 2
VIC
43%
24%
34%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
REG
2 - 0
ANC
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 1
SER
75%
14%
11%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 1
ANC
67%
18%
14%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
ANC
1 - 1
MES
46%
23%
32%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |