Cremonese vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
USC
1 - 0
COM
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
USC
1 - 1
REA
66%
21%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
VNZ
3 - 0
USC
39%
26%
34%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
USC
3 - 2
FER
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 1
USC
29%
27%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GER
0 - 0
PAV
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAS
0 - 0
PAV
21%
27%
52%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PAV
1 - 0
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PAV
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
PAV
0 - 0
ACL
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |