Cremonese vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
25.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
USC
1 - 1
FCC
39%
32%
29%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CES
1 - 0
USC
61%
25%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
USC
3 - 0
MOD
53%
30%
17%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
USC
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
USC
0 - 1
PIS
45%
24%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 3
TOR
19%
28%
53%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ASS
0 - 0
SAM
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
FCC
2 - 0
ASS
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ASS
0 - 0
CAG
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
SSS
0 - 0
ASS
45%
31%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |