Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 2-0
Cremonese vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
USC
0 - 3
SAM
20%
29%
51%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
BAR
2 - 0
USC
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
USC
0 - 1
ROM
26%
28%
47%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
JUV
4 - 0
USC
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
USC
2 - 1
ASC
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 1
BRE
54%
29%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
CES
2 - 1
MAN
58%
27%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 0
ARZ
55%
28%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
USF
0 - 2
MAN
66%
23%
11%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEC
64%
24%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |