Cremonese vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 0
USC
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
USC
0 - 0
ATL
14%
25%
60%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
USC
2 - 2
PIS
54%
24%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
PIS
3 - 0
USC
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
USC
0 - 1
CHI
35%
29%
37%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
ACL
0 - 1
PIS
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
ACL
0 - 2
GEN
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
ACL
2 - 1
EMP
18%
24%
59%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
EMP
2 - 0
ACL
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
ACL
2 - 2
ASS
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |