Cremonese vs AC Chioggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
USC
2 - 0
NOV
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CES
1 - 0
USC
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
USC
3 - 2
REG
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 2
USC
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
USC
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AC Chioggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
CES
3 - 1
ACC
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |