Cremonese vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
USC
1 - 1
USF
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
BAR
0 - 0
USC
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1996 |
BOL
2 - 1
USC
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
USC
2 - 3
COS
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
USC
1 - 3
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
CES
2 - 3
PAD
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
COS
1 - 0
CES
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
CES
1 - 1
PAL
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
BAR
0 - 0
CES
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
CES
1 - 0
CAS
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |