Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 5-4
Cremonese vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
TRI
0 - 0
USC
41%
28%
30%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
CES
4 - 3
USC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MAN
0 - 0
USC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
USC
2 - 0
MAN
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
USC
0 - 3
SAM
20%
29%
51%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
SAM
1 - 0
CES
75%
18%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
CES
4 - 3
USC
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
CES
1 - 0
VER
44%
30%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
SAM
0 - 0
CES
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
CES
1 - 1
JUV
16%
25%
60%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |