Corticella vs Victor San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
ACP
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
COR
2 - 2
BSD
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CER
1 - 6
COR
20%
24%
56%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
IMO
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 0
COR
12%
22%
66%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Victor San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
VSM
3 - 2
BSD
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ACP
0 - 2
VSM
51%
25%
25%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VSM
1 - 0
IMO
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
VSM
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VSM
1 - 1
CER
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |