Corticella vs Zenith Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+1045%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
18º
9º
23
11º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 21% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 3
COR
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
COR
2 - 4
CIT
86%
9%
5%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
4 - 0
COR
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
COR
3 - 3
RIC
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
5 - 0
COR
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zenith Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
ZEN
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 1
PRO
15%
20%
65%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 0
CIT
31%
22%
48%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
ZEN
77%
15%
8%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
ASD
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 49 | 42 | -1 |