Corticella vs Sant Angelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
7º
20º
7º
46
1º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 60 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 55 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 53 |
8º
|
93% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 50 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 50 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 49 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
45 | 46 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
15º
|
45.5% | |
|
16º
|
45 | 45 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
45 | 45 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
40 | 40 |
18º
|
69.5% | |
|
19º
|
38 | 39 |
19º
|
69.5% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 13 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
25% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PIS
2 - 0
COR
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
COR
1 - 2
BAG
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ACP
4 - 2
COR
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RAV
1 - 3
COR
76%
15%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
COR
1 - 2
USR
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sant Angelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAM
22%
22%
57%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ACA
2 - 2
SAN
73%
16%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
RAV
13%
17%
70%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CRE
0 - 3
SAN
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
LEN
12%
17%
71%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +2 |