Cheminots Paray vs Morteau Montlebon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morteau Montlebon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
MOR
25%
20%
55%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
BFC
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 1
MOR
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
FCG
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MON
4 - 2
MOR
86%
10%
5%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |