Chantilly vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
62.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
13º
8º
47
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chantilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ESL
1 - 2
CHA
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 2
AMI
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 1
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LON
1 - 0
CHA
20%
19%
61%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 4
FEI
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 2
FEI
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 4
LEN
30%
23%
48%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 1
VAL
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VIM
0 - 3
LEN
19%
19%
61%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEN
5 - 1
AAC
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |