Chantilly vs Furiani Agliani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
13º
13º
19
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 50 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 48 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 42 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 39 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
40% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
29.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chantilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 1
CHA
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
SPI
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ASB
1 - 0
CHA
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 1
CHA
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOB
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Furiani Agliani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 0
ESW
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
FUR
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FUR
2 - 2
BIE
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FUR
3 - 2
AUB
60%
24%
17%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPI
1 - 1
FUR
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |