Chantilly vs Compiègne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
13º
8º
36
8º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 45% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 55% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chantilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 1
CHA
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AAC
3 - 1
CHA
47%
23%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
USM
1 - 3
CHA
49%
22%
28%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 0
IRI
33%
23%
45%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ESW
5 - 1
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
COM
3 - 1
ESL
17%
19%
63%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AMI
2 - 0
COM
74%
16%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
COM
0 - 3
LIL
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
COM
1 - 2
FEI
15%
23%
63%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
COM
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |