Castelnuovo Garfagnana vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
40.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelnuovo Garfagnana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
BEN
1 - 1
UCG
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
UCG
1 - 0
CSP
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CUO
1 - 1
UCG
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
UCG
3 - 1
REG
29%
28%
43%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
GUA
0 - 1
UCG
56%
24%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CAV
2 - 1
ACS
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAV
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CAV
2 - 1
SAS
20%
27%
53%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ASG
1 - 1
CAV
33%
28%
40%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CAV
0 - 0
BEN
51%
28%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |