US Breno vs Villa Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
USB
0 - 2
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ADR
0 - 1
USB
36%
23%
42%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
USB
2 - 1
VCB
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
SON
0 - 3
USB
22%
22%
56%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
USB
1 - 2
CAL
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
USP
0 - 2
VIL
37%
28%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ABN
5 - 2
VIL
71%
20%
10%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
FAN
1 - 1
VIL
49%
26%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
USB
0 - 2
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |