US Breno vs US Ponte San Pietro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
DES
1 - 1
USB
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 3
USB
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
USB
0 - 0
CAS
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
OLG
0 - 0
USB
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
USB
1 - 3
CAL
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
US Ponte San Pietro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
USP
0 - 1
CRE
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
USP
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
USP
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
USP
1 - 1
CAS
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
USP
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |