US Breno vs Calcio Brusaporto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
18º
15º
45
4º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
55% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
45% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 2
USB
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USB
1 - 2
VIL
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARC
5 - 0
USB
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
DES
1 - 0
USB
41%
23%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
USB
2 - 2
SON
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Brusaporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 3
CAL
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 0
DES
39%
23%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
CAL
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
VAR
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |