US Breno vs Calcio Brusaporto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
USB
2 - 1
CRE
63%
20%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 4
USB
61%
22%
18%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
USB
2 - 2
FOL
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ARC
2 - 1
USB
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
USB
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Brusaporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
USP
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAL
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
ADR
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAL
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
LEO
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |