US Breno vs Atletico Castegnato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
USB
49%
24%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
USB
1 - 1
CAS
20%
27%
53%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
USB
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
USB
1 - 4
ALC
19%
25%
56%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ADR
2 - 0
USB
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |