US Breno vs AC Leon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
USB
44%
22%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
USB
2 - 0
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
USP
0 - 1
USB
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
USB
0 - 0
DES
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
USB
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AC Leon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 3
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 0
LEO
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 4
ADR
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 1
VCB
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SON
1 - 0
LEO
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |