US Boulogne vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
USB
0 - 0
STL
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
LMU
1 - 1
USB
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
USB
2 - 0
IST
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
CLE
2 - 3
USB
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
SED
1 - 1
USB
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
TFC
0 - 1
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 2
TFC
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
TFC
2 - 1
ARL
62%
24%
14%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
GIR
1 - 2
TFC
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |