US Boulogne vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 3
USB
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
USB
0 - 3
REI
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
DIJ
1 - 0
USB
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
USB
1 - 1
MET
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2009 |
USB
0 - 3
MPL
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
AUX
1 - 1
TFC
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 0
VAL
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SOC
1 - 2
TFC
39%
29%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
TFC
2 - 0
LMU
39%
28%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
REN
0 - 0
TFC
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |