US Boulogne vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
42.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
USB
1 - 0
BAS
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
REI
1 - 1
USB
38%
26%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
USB
4 - 1
CLE
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
TOU
1 - 2
USB
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
USB
3 - 0
DIJ
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
NIC
2 - 2
LMU
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LYO
3 - 2
NIC
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAL
48%
27%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
AUX
0 - 1
NIC
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
NIC
2 - 1
ASN
44%
29%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |