US Boulogne vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
10º
8º
5
6º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
7 | 55 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 54 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 53 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 50 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 50 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 45 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
13 | 44 |
8º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 42 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 42 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 41 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
USB
2 - 0
QUE
20%
25%
54%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 1
USB
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
USB
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
USB
1 - 5
DEI
10%
18%
72%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AMI
2 - 2
USB
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LMU
0 - 0
DIJ
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SOC
0 - 1
LMU
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LMU
0 - 0
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
VER
1 - 0
LMU
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LMU
1 - 1
FCR
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |