US Boulogne vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
PFC
1 - 1
USB
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
USB
2 - 5
VAN
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
STR
1 - 1
USB
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
USB
2 - 1
FRE
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
UZE
1 - 0
USB
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 0
GAZ
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 2
PFC
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
VAN
0 - 0
LUC
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 0
STR
37%
26%
36%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 1
LUC
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |