US Boulogne vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
VAU
1 - 2
USB
29%
24%
48%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
USB
0 - 1
MAR
4%
17%
79%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
USB
2 - 0
SAI
82%
12%
7%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
USB
1 - 2
STL
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
ARM
0 - 3
USB
30%
24%
46%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
NÎM
3 - 0
LIL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
LIL
1 - 0
TRO
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
LMU
2 - 1
LIL
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
DIV
0 - 2
LIL
12%
23%
66%
|
70 | 17 | 53 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASB
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |